Has confidence returned to the mortgage market?

Has confidence returned to the mortgage market?

Home sales in the UK are forecast to begin their climb back up in the first quarter of next year, according to asset management firm deVere Group. So, has confidence started to return to the housing market? Here, James King, Managing Director of Mortgage Broker MAB Kent Ltd has his say.

Returning confidence in the housing market:

"I've noticed a significant return of confidence in the housing market. Many borrowers, including those who've held mortgages for over a decade, were accustomed to rates starting with a 'one.' Therefore, being presented with mortgage options starting with a 'four' was quite surprising. While I believe this increase is more of a psychological hurdle, it's heartening to see clients encouraged by sub-5% mortgage rates.

The recent introduction of sub-5% rates by The Mortgage Works and subsequent adoption by major lenders like Santander and HSBC indicate that the market has likely moved beyond the peak of this mortgage pricing cycle. This trend has been instrumental in restoring substantial confidence across the housing sector. Over the last year, potential homebuyers were told that the best rates they could secure were three, then four, and even five percent. Such constant rate increases made many people hesitant to move, but as mortgage rates are now decreasing, the fear of future unaffordability when refinancing in the next two to five years is diminishing."

Post lockdown outlook for the housing market:

"In my view, the current housing market outlook resembles the post-lockdown period. After the lockdowns, people were eagerly waiting for the perfect time to enter the market. However, as demand built up, they began house hunting as soon as they sensed market improvement and stability returning. This pattern mirrors what we're witnessing now. I've personally noticed an increase in inquiries from first-time buyers who are taking initial steps like assessing affordability before making their purchases. Affordability has become a major concern for many, with lenders tightening their criteria amid economic uncertainties. However, it appears that the market has turned a corner after navigating through interest rate hikes, and the gradual decrease in rates has provided people with much-needed certainty about the future. Additionally, the reduced construction of new homes, coupled with the existing supply shortage, has created a further imbalance. Given the stagnant activity of the past year and the return of stability, all signs are pointing towards a surge in people looking to move once again."

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